Premier League Betting
Premier League Games 06/07 October 2007 Man Utd 1/7 v Wigan 12/1 (draw 5/1)
Manchester United have looked anything but fluent this season, they aren’t scoring – then again they aren’t conceding either. They have won 6 of the last 8 games 1-0! A case of 1-0 to the erm.. United? Wigan were so unlucky at the weekend to lose to Liverpool, they put the ball in the back of the net to make it 1-0 only to have it chalked off for an alleged offside offence. Then, they gave Aghahowa a glorious opportunity to level it up when they were 1-0 only to scuff it from 3 yards out! Chris Hutchings has done much more at Wigan than many expected including myself.
This game comes on the back of a great home win for United in the Champions League, this will give them a great boost and will nail this game 2-0 at 11/2. Rooney got off the mark in that European game, he is 9/2 to net the first goal again.
Aston Villa 1/1 v West Ham 9/4 (draw 9/4)
Villa must have been kicking themselves after letting a 3 goal lead slip at White Hart Lane on Monday night. They were 4-1 up only to see Spurs go on a rampage in the second half and level the game in the 92nd minute – gutted! Aston Villa are a highly underrated team, they are usually well drilled in defence (with the exception of the Spurs game) and have fantastic attacking opportunities with the lightening quick Agbonlahor, Young and Moore, enough to catch anyone on the break. West Ham are getting a few top players back now, Ashton is making his way back after a long lay off as is Freddie Ljungberg.
Very tight game in store here so I thing the draw is the safest bet at 9/4. A great bet is the draw at half time at evens, this market has been kind to me in the past and I expect it to come up trumps again here.
Arsenal 1/6 v Sunderland 10/1 (draw 5/1)
The Gunners are surprising a lot of people this season, everyone thought that now Thierry Henry has left, Arsenal would be short in attack. This has not been the case, 3 players have stepped up to the plate and chipped in with plenty of goals already, Adebayor, Fabregas and Van Persie have been in fine fettle thus far. Sunderland are doing what everyone expected, doing ok at home and struggling away. It is their home form that will be vital as to whether they stay up or not, but in this game – they have no chance.
A comfortable 3-0 home victory is on the cards here at 6/1. You may want to put your mortgage on Arsenal -1 goal on the handicap at 4/7. Not the best price but nailed on.
Reading 8/11 v Derby 100/30 (draw 9/4)
These are two more teams whose home form will be vital in surviving the drop come May. Reading do seem to be suffering the dreaded “second season syndrome” but they are still battling hard. Their home performances have been ok so far, if they keep that up they will be fine. The problem Reading have is that their squad is so thin, if they lose the likes of Harper and Hunt, they’re in big trouble. Derby for me are the most likely to go back down, but their saving grace maybe the little Scotsman Kenny Miller. He has made an immediate impact in the Premiership netting the winner on his debut against Newcastle and putting Derby 1-0 up over Bolton at the weekend.
I expect Reading to take this game at 8/11. It will be a tricky affair but I feel 8/11 is a good price.
Blackburn 4/6 v Birmingham 7/2 (draw 12/5)
A repeat of the third round Carling Cup fixture where Blackburn were 3-0 winners. Blackburn are a good side, I expect them to do well this season. Mark Hughes has bought some great players this summer in Santa Cruz and Maceo Rigters. We are still to see Rigters but he will have a part to play this season, not many will know him unless they watched the U21 European championships this summer where he played as a lone striker for Holland. Bentley who should have been playing in that tournament is turning into a real fan's hero. As well as possessing blistering pace and the ability to put in a good cross, he proved at the weekend he can finish too. Birmingham haven’t had any results of note apart from the away draw to Liverpool. Expect another home win at 4/6.
Very hard to predict a first goalscorer so I won’t try, you won't go far wrong with lumping on a home win.
Bolton 3/1 v Chelsea 4/5 (9/4 draw)
When was the last time we saw Chelsea at 4/5 against (no offence Bolton) a much lesser opposition? Chelsea have shown us in the week that they can still cut it under Avram Grant with a fantastic away win at Valencia. The captain John Terry was back just a couple of days after having an operation for a fractured cheekbone. This surely shows how much the players are behind Grant. Bolton are still struggling to get results and if it wasn’t for Nicolas Anelka they would be in even more trouble.
A great price for Chelsea and one I will be all over, Drogba is suspended which is obviously a hindrance but Chelsea should have enough. My first goalscorer bet will be going Malouda at 6/1.
Liverpool 4/9 v Tottenham 11/2 (11/4 draw)
Liverpool are struggling at the moment. Ever since they spanked Derby 6-0 they have not won a game, drawing 3 and losing 1 against Marseille in the Champions League. They looked all over the place in that game and it was probably the worst performance I have seen from them in quite a while. I am a Liverpool fan but I struggled to find a single Liverpool player who played well. Peppe Reina was the best by a mile but I can’t tell you one outfield player who performed well. I don’t believe the rotation rubbish, the only thing I can put it down to is the departure of Pako Ayesteran, he was a major part of the Liverpool back room staff. Spurs too have not been performing and it’s a mystery to pretty much everyone, they have such top quality players but are conceding so many goals.
Tottenham have always been a bogey team for Liverpool and I fancy the draw again at 11/4. 4/9 for Liverpool is outrageous but I’m happy to take a bigger draw price.
Man City 4/6 v Middlesbrough 7/2 (12/5 draw)
I never thought I’d hear myself say this but Manchester City are my banker for the whole weekend at 4/6! Need I say anymore – nailed on!!
Newcastle 1/1 v Everton 9/4 (9/4 draw)
Newcastle are doing well this season, they haven’t lost at home so far and will be hoping to keep that going against and Everton side are also doing very well. Everton are sitting in 5th position with some great performances. This will be a tight and compact game with few chances.
A draw may be the best bet at 9/4.



22/09/2007